Por Pedro Hernandez
Este artículo centrado en la salud pública es el primero de una serie centrada en sobre cómo el cambio climático está afectando el Valle de San Joaquín. Para el próximo número de abril, discutiremos los impactos del cambio climático en los recursos naturales como el agua subterránea y el impacto en la vida silvestre en el área.
Sin duda, los recientes desarrollos de COVID-19 han cambiado nuestra sociedad y se han convertido en el problema más urgente a corto plazo de nuestras vidas actuales. Pero para muchos activistas, miembros de la comunidad y científicos, el cambio climático sigue siendo uno de los problemas más acuciantes que enfrenta todo nuestro planeta. El cambio climático ha sido un foco principal de los debates presidenciales de 2020, un foco principal de las organizaciones locales sin fines de lucro y un tema que se ha discutido cada vez más en los medios de comunicación.
A menudo, las discusiones sobre el cambio climático se han vuelto muy polarizadoras y pueden desencadenar importantes conflictos políticos o culturales. Independientemente del origen o la causa directa del cambio climático, continúa haciendo hincapié en el medio ambiente y la sociedad en formas que seguimos viendo con mayor frecuencia cada año. Por ejemplo, la Administración Nacional Oceánica y Atmosférica ha designado oficialmente febrero de 2020 como el segundo febrero más caluroso de la historia registrada.
Aunque el término ha estado circulando, ¿qué es exactamente el cambio climático? El Departamento de Salud Pública de California explica: “El clima puede considerarse como la variabilidad a corto plazo de la temperatura local diaria, precipitación (es decir, lluvia, nieve), viento y eventos como tormentas (huracanes, tornados, etc.) a lo largo de un año. El clima puede considerarse como el patrón general en un área geográfica y escala de tiempo más grandes, generalmente en el lapso de décadas ”. En otras palabras, “clima” es la tendencia a largo plazo que se concluye utilizando años de datos “meteorológicos”. En las últimas décadas, los residentes a largo plazo y la ciencia pueden confirmar que California y todo el suroeste de los Estados Unidos han experimentado una sequía severa, una temporada prolongada de incendios forestales y el aumento de las temperaturas generales.
La comunidad científica está firmemente de acuerdo en que, aunque el clima ha cambiado a lo largo de la historia del planeta, la actividad relacionada con los humanos, como la quema de combustibles fósiles y otros tipos de contaminación, está haciendo que el planeta se caliente más rápido que nunca. Los gases de efecto invernadero son la raíz del cambio climático debido a su capacidad de atrapar el calor en la atmósfera y son un producto directo de la sociedad humana moderna.
El impacto del cambio climático en California varía en todo el estado debido a la diversidad en el entorno biofísico, el clima y las características jurisdiccionales. ¿Cómo afectará específicamente el cambio climático al Condado de Tulare? En los últimos años, muchos científicos, agencias gubernamentales, ambientalistas y funcionarios de salud pública han comenzado a proyectar los impactos del cambio climático.
En 2017, el Departamento de Salud Pública de California y la Universidad de California, Davis, a través del proyecto CalBRACE (California Building Resilience Against Climate Effects) produjeron un Informe de Perfil de Cambio Climático y Salud para cada condado de California. La siguiente es una selección curada de los posibles impactos para el Condado de Tulare, que es uno de los informes más localmente aplicables jamás realizados.
El aumento de las temperaturas es quizás el síntoma que muchos sentirán directamente y durante el período de tiempo más prolongado.
Síntomas del aumento del calor
- El aumento de las temperaturas se manifiesta como olas de calor y días de alto calor sostenido que dañan directamente la salud humana a través de enfermedades relacionadas con el calor (estrés por calor leve a un golpe de calor mortal) y la exacerbación de afecciones preexistentes en los enfermos crónicos y médicamente frágiles y vulnerable
- El aumento del calor también intensifica las reacciones fotoquímicas que producen smog y ozono a nivel del suelo y partículas finas (PM2.5), que contribuyen y exacerban las enfermedades respiratorias en niños y adultos.
- El aumento del calor y el dióxido de carbono aumentan el crecimiento de las plantas que producen polen, que están asociadas con alergias.
- El aumento de las temperaturas aumenta la carga de calor de los edificios en las zonas urbanas y exacerba las islas de calor urbanas existentes, lo que aumenta el riesgo de altas temperaturas generales.
- El aumento de las temperaturas también conduce a condiciones de sequía, lo que a su vez deja a muchos residentes sin una fuente confiable de agua potable y también aumenta la probabilidad de incendios forestales y enfermedades respiratorias, incluido el asma
Además del impacto directo del calor en los humanos, el cambio climático también aumenta el potencial de propagación de enfermedades transmitidas por vectores. Los posibles impactos incluyen:
- Los cambios climáticos alteran el rango, la biogeografía y el crecimiento de microbios y los vectores de alimentos, agua y enfermedades transmitidas por vectores.
- Esto incluye los cambios en los ambientes acuáticos que podrían aumentar la proliferación de algas nocivas y conducir a un aumento de las enfermedades transmitidas por los alimentos y el agua.18
Las interrupciones socioeconómicas incluyen los impactos en grandes estructuras como la economía o la estabilidad y seguridad general de la sociedad. Los impactos proyectados incluyen:
- Las instalaciones de atención médica, las plantas de tratamiento de agua y las carreteras para el personal de respuesta a emergencias y el transporte para el personal de atención médica pueden dañarse en eventos climáticos extremos relacionados con el clima.
- El aumento de la carga de enfermedades y lesiones pondrá a prueba la capacidad de aumento de las instalaciones de atención médica. La interrupción económica puede conducir a la pérdida de ingresos, inseguridad de ingresos, inseguridad alimentaria, inseguridad de vivienda y problemas de salud mental, lo que a su vez puede aumentar el abuso de sustancias, el suicidio y otros problemas de salud.
- La producción y distribución de energía también se ve amenazada por el calor y los incendios forestales debido a la pérdida de eficiencia, la capacidad de generación y los incendios que interrumpen las líneas de transmisión.
Aunque estamos viendo que muchos de estos impactos aparecen gradualmente en el Valle de San Joaquín, el equipo de Ivanhoe Sol se dedica a abogar por soluciones reales para abordar el cambio climático de industrias contaminantes y funcionarios electos que representan a nuestra comunidad y que tienen la capacidad de votar para políticas y programas importantes que apoyarán la resistencia de Ivanhoe a través de estos desafíos.
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